Friday, 16 March 2012

RB Dynasty Rankings - 16/03/12

Rankings based on 0.5 PPR scoring (more comments to be added shortly)


Tier 1

This is the position I find the most difficult to rank. So many of these players have been hampered by injuries and this is part of the reason I prefer to fill my teams with top quality WR's.


McCoy's an excellent dual threat.

1a. LeSean McCoy - He and Rice are almost inseparable. I've put McCoy as 1a partly because of Cam Cameron and his reluctance to fully run the offense through Rice. McCoy is an excellent receiver and continually finds yards where he has no business doing so.
1b. Ray Rice - see above
3. Arian Foster - Another very strong season from Foster, he was never going to repeat his 2010 stats. The only knock on Foster is that both Ben Tate and Derrick Ward posted good numbers while he was injured and there's an argument that a large part of Foster's production is down to the Kubiak/Texans system and not his talent.

Tier 2


Can Charles bounce back?

A lot of injuries in this group and while many of the players here could challenge the top 3 I just don't feel comfortable ranking them there yet.

 4. Trent Richardson (rookie) - I know some will criticise how high I have Richardson however I see this as similar to the situation with Luck. If he shows anything like what he is capable of your opportunity to get him will be gone.
5. Ryan Matthews - Quietly had a very good season in San Diego despite being bitten with the injury bug yet again. Finished the season as RB8 and with Tolbert a UFA I don't see how he doesn't improve on that next year.
6. Matt Forte - The No4 RB before his injury in week 12, Forte really was the Bears offense (his contribution worked out at 40% of their total offensive yards). The knee injury is a concern, as is the uncertainty over the direction of the Bears, however Forte has shown the talent to perform in less than ideal situations in the past.
7. Jamaal Charles - A lot will be nervous of Charles at this spot due to the horrific knee injury he suffered at the start of the year. I personally believe he's still young enough to come back and be productive, Haley is gone and the new Chiefs staff will hopefully unlock Charles' full potential.
8. Jonathan Stewart - Finished the season with two strong performances and still only 24 years old. Despite having been in the league for 4 years he's had a relatively low number of touches. DeAngelo Williams has failed to live up to his large contract and Stewart is talented enough to pass him in 2012
9. Chris Johnson - A huge disappointment this year as he didn't look interested for large parts of the season. He has too much talent to fall outside the top 10 just yet though. One worrying area is Johnson's reliance on his speed, he's had a lot of carries in the last few years and if he starts to slow down his production could come to a screeching halt.
10. Darren McFadden - Despite his huge talent has consistently missed time over the last few seasons. Would be higher if he could stay healthy.

 
Tier 3

.
11. Adrian Peterson - A terrible knee injury late in the year has put Peterson's 2012 in doubt and could have serious impacts on his long term future. Widely considered as the best RB prospect in years it'll be a shame if he's unable to play at that high level again.
12. Maurice Jones-Drew - Defied the critics and had his best season to date in 2011, however this offseason will again be filled with discussion of how long he can continue. Jones Drew has been in the league a long time and taken a lot of hits during that time, it's only sensible this into account when valuing him.
13. Demarco Murray - Ahead of schedule with his injury. With rumours of Felix being traded he should be 'the guy' in 2012.

Tier 4

14. Marshawn Lynch
15. Ahmad Bradshaw
16. C.J. Spiller - Fred Jackson is another year older and Spiller finally started to show his potential towards the tail end of last year. Look for this to be more of a 50-50 split in 2012.
17. Chris 'Beanie' Wells - Ryan Williams knee injury may well have saved his career. Looked great when healthy last year but continues to be plagued by knocks/niggles.
18. Mark Ingram - Everything went wrong for him last year. Could be mired in a RBBC for the forseeable future.

Tier 5


19. David Wilson
20. Doug Martin
21. Lamar Miller
22. Steven Jackson
23. Frank Gore
24. Rashard Mendenhall - Late season knee injury severly impacts his value.
25. Darren Sproles
26. Peyton Hillis
27. Reggie Bush

Tier 6

28. Michael Bush
29. Felix Jones
30. Fred Jackson

Tier 7

31. DeAngelo Williams
32. Pierre Thomas
33. Daniel Thomas
34. Jacquizz Rodgers
35. LeGarrette Blount
36. Roy Helu
37. Benjarvus Green-Ellis
38. Michael Turner
39. Shonn Greene
40. Jahvid Best - I think he may be done, such a shame as he had amazing talent.
41. Willis McGahee
42. Stevan Ridley
43. Bernard Scott





I welcome discussion on any of my rankings so please feel free to leave a comment.

QB Dynasty Rankings - 16/03/12

Here's my rough updated rankings:

Tier 1

 A clear top 4 and no chance from last time.

Newton surprised almost everyone this year.

 1. Aaron Rodgers - A clear #1 here due to his age and elite play
2. Drew Brees - Age is a factor however I wouldn't tend to look more than three years into the future and he should continue to produce top 5 numbers during that period.
3. Cam Newton - A totally unique prospect at the QB position. Far exceeded my expectations of what he could do in the NFL as a rookie. A capable passer with a huge run threat, if it wasn't for the risk of a Culpepper like regression he'd be higher.
4. Matthew Stafford - Concerned by his high no. of attempts but with Megatron's new deal he should be good for years to come, expect a regression though.
Tier 2

The next group of players are all ranked very closely for me.


The next Peyton Manning?

5. Andrew Luck (rookie) - The most hyped prospect since Elway. Obviously a huge risk at this position however if he shows even a glimpse of his potential this year he'll be almost impossible to acquire in most leagues.
6. Philip Rivers - A poor season by comparison last year however I expect him to bounce back next year, still young enough to have value for a long time to come.
7. Tom Brady - The oldest player in this tier and this is largely what leads to his lower ranking. Continues to put up strong numbers but is far more likely to retire in the next few years.
8. Robert Griffin III (rookie) - Washington's cap penalty might limit his weapons in the short term but Griffin has the potential to be very special.
9. Eli Manning - Just won a Superbowl and this year posted excellent numbers. No reason this can't continue with Cruz & Nicks.
10. Tony Romo - Great receiving weapons in Witten, Austin & Bryant. Robinson probably won't be back but that shouldn't matter with the other talent in Dallas.
11. Matt Ryan - A solid fantasy prospect, you know what you're going to get with Ryan. He had a good second half of the season and with a healthy Julio Jones could continue to improve going in to the 2012 season.

Tier 3

Difficult to separate any of these guys as nothing stands out.

12. Jay Cutler -
Cutler receives a bump due to the acquisition of Marshall
13. Ben Roethlisberger
14. Joe Flacco
15. Josh Freeman -
Addition of VJax , Nicks and potentially Richardson really helps him
16. Matt Schaub
17. Peyton Manning -
With the news he's about the sign somewhere Peyton rejoins the rankings.


Tier 4
This tier is practically interchangeable, many of the players here are in flux and I'm waiting for clarity on their situations before separating them.

18. Sam Bradford - Suffering from Alex Smith/Jason Campbell syndrome. He'll be learning his third offensive system in three years.
19. Matt Flynn - So much of his value is linked to where he goes in FA.
20. Michael Vick
21. Alex Smith
22. Andy Dalton

Tier 5
23. Ryan Fitzpatrick
24. Ryan Tannehill
25. Christian Ponder
26. Tim Tebow
27. Jake Locker
Tier 6
28. Blaine Gabbert
29. Matt Moore
30. Carson Palmer
31. Mark Sanchez

Tier 7
32. Ryan Mallett
33. Matt Cassel
34. Brian Hoyer

I welcome discussion on any of my rankings so feel free to leave a comment.